# Сопутствующие статьи по теме FOMC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "FOMC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoin Under $80,000: Warsh Confirmed As Next Fed Chair—Here’s The Likely Impact

Bitcoin dropped below $80,000 amid news that Kevin Warsh has been confirmed as the next Federal Reserve Chair. Market analyst Sam Daodu noted Warsh's unique personal crypto holdings and views on Bitcoin, but also his hawkish stance, particularly on quantitative easing. The market's reaction to his appointment hinges on two potential Fed policy paths. In a hawkish scenario where Warsh signals a prolonged hold on rates due to high inflation, Bitcoin could fall below $78,000. Conversely, if he advocates for rate cuts citing AI-driven productivity gains, BTC could rebound to $82,000-$85,000. Key upcoming catalysts include a surprise rate cut or a revised "dot plot" indicating fewer cuts in 2026, which would likely push Bitcoin lower.

bitcoinist05/14 15:32

Bitcoin Under $80,000: Warsh Confirmed As Next Fed Chair—Here’s The Likely Impact

bitcoinist05/14 15:32

BIT Research: Why Could Gold Rush to $5,000 Faster After the Sudden Plunge?

The article "BIT Research: After Gold's Sharp Decline, Why Could It Reach $5,000 Faster?" presents a bullish outlook for gold despite recent price drops. It argues that the core bullish structure remains intact, with the recent sell-off seen as a correction rather than a trend reversal. The primary drivers are expected to be a re-pricing of the US dollar and the interest rate path. The market currently prices in a potential 2026 rate hike, yet simultaneously expects a more dovish stance from incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, creating a contradiction. A correction of these expectations could weaken the dollar and lower real rates, fueling gold's ascent. Additionally, the expanding US national debt provides long-term structural support. Technically, gold is forming a consolidation pattern with higher lows, suggesting underlying strength. Quantitative and trend models have turned bullish, with historical data from similar signals pointing to an average ~12.8% gain over two months, projecting a target near $5,306. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, the July BRICS summit, and the September US fiscal cliff. In summary, the convergence of a potential dollar downturn, interest rate re-pricing, supportive technicals, and upcoming macro events could propel gold into a new phase of accelerated growth, with $5,300 as a near-term target.

marsbit05/08 07:39

BIT Research: Why Could Gold Rush to $5,000 Faster After the Sudden Plunge?

marsbit05/08 07:39

When Is The Next FOMC Meeting And What Are The Expectations For Crypto?

The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for April 29, 2026, and is expected to result in no change to the current interest rate of 3.5-3.75%. According to the FedWatch Tool, there is a 99.5% probability rates will remain unchanged, a 0.5% chance of a hike, and a 0% chance of a cut. Consequently, the crypto market is anticipated to see little to no significant movement following the announcement. Historically, FOMC decisions heavily influence crypto: hawkish stances (rate hikes) often cause market declines, while dovish stances (rate cuts) typically trigger rallies. A neutral decision, like the one expected, usually allows the market to continue its existing trend without major disruption.

bitcoinist04/25 13:31

When Is The Next FOMC Meeting And What Are The Expectations For Crypto?

bitcoinist04/25 13:31

Major Catalysts To Watch Out For That Could Send Bitcoin Price To $90,000

A crypto analyst, Rawl, has presented a Bitcoin price roadmap suggesting the cryptocurrency could surge to $90,000. According to his analysis, Bitcoin has completed a corrective Elliott Wave structure (Wave C) after dropping to $60,000 in February. The market has since entered a new bullish phase, with Waves 1 and 2 already formed. It is currently consolidating around $65,000 before expected upward moves in Waves 3 and 4 toward $90,000–$96,000. After reaching this level, a sideways movement is anticipated, followed by a corrective ABC wave, potentially coinciding with a change in Federal Reserve leadership. The analyst assigns an 80% probability of a new all-time high this year, with a less likely chance of a deeper pullback to $55,000 between May and June. He advises taking partial profits at $90,000 and rebuying on potential dips.

bitcoinist04/05 01:02

Major Catalysts To Watch Out For That Could Send Bitcoin Price To $90,000

bitcoinist04/05 01:02

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May See Directional Decision Period

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May Bring Directional Decision The crypto market is currently in a critical transition phase. After months of a downtrend, Bitcoin has seen a minor rebound, retesting a key support level it had previously lost. However, the overall foundation for recovery remains fragile. Mounting macro pressures, weakening liquidity, and upcoming key policy events are shifting market pricing logic. Historically, Bitcoin has tested this key support range three times since October 2025. A break below the $65,000–$66,000 level could trigger another accelerated decline. While April is seasonally considered a stronger month, historical performance is mixed. This cycle, the market is driven more by liquidity conditions, macro catalysts, and shifting investor positioning rather than simple seasonal patterns. Factors like rising oil prices boosting inflation expectations and a stronger dollar are historically negative for Bitcoin. The market's rhythm in April will be crucial: thin liquidity and heightened volatility early in the month, followed by a focus on macro data and policy expectations mid-month, with a potential for clearer direction only after the FOMC meeting toward the month's end. The baseline scenario suggests continued weakness in the first half of April. If key support holds, a potential rebound is more likely to gain momentum in the latter part of the month as tax-related selling pressures subside and policy expectations stabilize. Investors are advised to focus on liquidity and macro variables rather than seasonal patterns, managing risk while awaiting clearer signals for a sustained recovery.

marsbit04/04 11:08

BIT Research: Bitcoin Approaches Key Support, April May See Directional Decision Period

marsbit04/04 11:08

How Japan’s 2.30% bond yield could spark a global crypto opportunity

Japan's 10-year government bond yield rising to 2.30% could create a long-term bullish opportunity for crypto, according to analysis. As a major energy importer, Japan faces inflation from rising oil prices, pressuring its bond market. With USD/JPY nearing 160, Japanese authorities may intervene by selling U.S. Treasuries to support the yen. As the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt, such a move could weaken the dollar. Historically, a weaker dollar drives liquidity into crypto. Although recent FOMC decisions strengthened the dollar and caused a short-term crypto drop, this is viewed as a temporary shock. Broader macro pressures, including recession risks, may ultimately reduce dollar strength and benefit crypto markets over time.

ambcrypto03/24 09:05

How Japan’s 2.30% bond yield could spark a global crypto opportunity

ambcrypto03/24 09:05

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

In September 2024, the Federal Reserve began its rate-cutting cycle, projecting a median federal funds rate of 3.4% by the end of 2025—implying four additional cuts. However, six quarters later, the March SEP (Summary of Economic Projections) reveals a significant shift: the rate now stands at 3.50%-3.75%, 25 basis points higher than initially expected. The median projection for 2026 has also risen from 2.9% to 3.4%. The Fed’s internal consensus has fractured. Out of 19 FOMC participants, seven now expect no rate cuts in 2026, while seven anticipate only one cut. This 7:7 split reflects a fundamental disagreement over the direction of monetary policy, moving from debates over the magnitude of cuts to whether cuts should occur at all. Persistent inflation is the core issue. The Fed has consistently revised its PCE inflation forecasts upward over the past six quarters, with the 2026 projection now at 2.7%—up 0.6 percentage points from initial estimates. Core PCE, a key indicator of underlying inflation, was revised up sharply to 2.7%, signaling entrenched price pressures. Despite slightly raising its GDP growth forecast to 2.4% and holding unemployment steady at 4.4%, the Fed’s unchanged median rate projection conflicts with its own rising inflation outlook. Market expectations remain more dovish, pricing in around 50 basis points of cuts, but the Fed’s internal division and consistent underestimation of inflation suggest continued uncertainty. The central bank is effectively chasing reality, with no clear consensus on the path ahead.

marsbit03/19 02:30

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

marsbit03/19 02:30

Fed holds rates steady at 3.5%–3.75% as projections signal slower path to easing

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.5%–3.75% on 18 March, signaling that inflation remains too high to justify near-term cuts. Policymakers emphasized that inflation is still above the 2% target despite a solid economy and stable labor market. The Fed's updated economic projections indicate a delayed easing cycle, with PCE inflation expected at 2.7% in 2026 and the federal funds rate around 3.4% the same year. This reinforces a "higher-for-longer" narrative. Geopolitical risks were also noted as a potential source of uncertainty. For crypto markets, the lack of immediate rate cuts may limit liquidity, but the soft-landing narrative remains supportive over the medium term. Markets will now focus on incoming data to gauge the timing of policy easing.

ambcrypto03/18 19:09

Fed holds rates steady at 3.5%–3.75% as projections signal slower path to easing

ambcrypto03/18 19:09

Bitcoin longs stack above $73K ahead of FOMC – Is short squeeze coming?

Bitcoin is seeing significant long positions stacked above $73K ahead of the March 18 FOMC meeting, amid expectations of continued upward momentum. Despite broader risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, nearly $400 billion has flowed into crypto in three weeks, driving a 25% BTC rally from its $60K floor. With $1.3 billion in shorts near $80K, a short squeeze could catalyze a breakout. Key factors include the Fed’s likely unchanged rates, Bitcoin’s low MVRV ratio suggesting long-term upside, and renewed buying pressure on major exchanges. Volatility is expected post-FOMC, but strong bid support may help bulls trigger a bear trap and push BTC past $80K.

ambcrypto03/18 18:32

Bitcoin longs stack above $73K ahead of FOMC – Is short squeeze coming?

ambcrypto03/18 18:32

Trading Moment: Crypto Regulation Welcomes Major Positive News, Bitcoin May 'Dip First Then Rally' After Fed Meeting

Cryptocurrency markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, with expectations nearly unanimous for interest rates to remain unchanged. Bitcoin is experiencing high volatility, trading between $74,000 and $76,000, with analysts divided on its short-term trajectory. Bearish voices warn of a potential drop to $68,000, citing macro liquidity concerns and a pattern of post-FOMC sell-offs. Bullish analysts, however, see a path to $80,000 or higher if key resistance levels are broken and ETF inflows continue. In a major regulatory development, the SEC and CFTC issued new guidance classifying most digital assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, and XRP, as non-security digital commodities, providing clearer regulatory boundaries. Key data shows Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $199 million and $138 million respectively, while the market fear and greed index sits at 26 (Fear). Over $131 million was liquidated in 24 hours. Solana (SOL) is showing a bullish technical pattern, with analysts targeting $120-$145 if it holds support. Upcoming events include the Fed's rate decision, Chairman Powell's press conference, and token unlocks for projects like Lombard (BARD).

marsbit03/18 08:58

Trading Moment: Crypto Regulation Welcomes Major Positive News, Bitcoin May 'Dip First Then Rally' After Fed Meeting