Bitcoin's Bull-Bear Range Battle Continues, HYPE Faces Critical Test of Wave V Support | Invited Analysis
The market is experiencing directional uncertainty with both opportunities and risks. HYPE's daily V-wave structure is at a critical juncture, with the $40.17 support level being pivotal for its future trajectory. A break below this level, followed by an inability to surpass the recent high of $45.76, could signal the end of the current upward structure. The short-term strategy for HYPE is to "follow the trend and buy on dips," using a 30% position size and a 30/60-minute trading cycle, entering long upon confirmed support holds with model signals.
Bitcoin's market structure is reinterpreted, with the rally from the $60,000 low now considered a larger D-wave rebound within a medium-term correction, facing a key test between $73,500 and $79,000. A break above the upper bound may lead to limited upside, while a drop below could see a decline toward $69,500. Core resistance lies at $79,000–$80,600 and $83,500–$84,500, with support at $73,500, $69,500, and $65,000–$66,000. The medium-term strategy maintains a 60% short position from $89,000, to be exited if price stabilizes above the multi-empty band. Short-term tactics involve 30% positions for "spread" opportunities, with two scenarios: selling on rallies near $76,500–$79,000 (Scheme A) or shorting on a breakdown below $73,500 (Scheme B), both with strict stop-losses.
A复盘 of HYPE's recent short trade showed a 6.80% gain from a long entry at $41.59 (based on model buy signals) and exit at $44.42 (triggered by top signals). Key reminders include setting initial stops at entry, moving to breakeven at +1% profit, and trailing stops thereafter. All views are for reference only; market conditions change rapidly, and caution is advised.
Odaily星球日报04/20 08:14
