Spot volumes drop 66% in ‘lulls’ that often precede next cycle leg: Bitfinex

cointelegraphPublished on 2025-12-13Last updated on 2025-12-13

Abstract

Bitfinex reports a 66% decline in crypto spot trading volumes this quarter, dropping from over $500 billion in early November to around $250 billion. The exchange notes this mirrors historical market lulls that often precede the next cycle upswing. Analysts observe Bitcoin's tightening price structure near key levels of $89,000–$92,000, suggesting a breakout toward $100,000 is possible if resistance is broken. Despite a recent Fed rate cut and a large institutional purchase, momentum faded as the move was already priced in, leaving markets subdued amid softer ETF inflows and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Bitfinex says crypto spot trading activity has fallen sharply this quarter, with volumes down 66% from January’s peak as traders step back amid softer ETF inflows and an uncertain macro backdrop.

In a Sunday post on X, the exchange noted that the slowdown mirrors periods seen in earlier market cycles, where extended lulls often “precede the next leg in the cycle.”

According to data from CoinMarketCap, 30-day crypto spot volumes have slipped from over $500 billion in early November to roughly $250 billion this week.

Trading activity struggled to stay above the $300–$350 billion range throughout late November and early December, with several sessions sliding toward $200 billion, levels not seen in months. The decline followed a brief spike in mid-November, when volumes exceeded $550 billion before retreating quickly, data shows.

Spot crypto volumes continue to drop. Source: CoinMarketCap

Related: Brazil’s largest private bank advises investors to allocate 3% to Bitcoin in 2026

Bitcoin nearing breakout as key levels tighten

Meanwhile, market analysts say the current environment resembles previous pre-breakout periods. In a recent post on X, Michaël van de Poppe noted a tightening price structure in Bitcoin (BTC), saying that major macro events in the coming week could drive a surge in volatility.

“Bitcoin holds above this crucial level, but I'm sure we'll start to see volatility pick up significantly over the course of the next days,” the analyst said.

He pointed to key levels at $89,000 and $92,000, arguing that a break above resistance could accelerate a move toward $100,000 before 2026, while losing support risks another retest of lower ranges.

Related: Bitcoin rallies fail at $94K despite Fed policy shift: Here's why

Crypto slips despite fed cut

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin briefly climbed to $94,330 early in the week, lifted by Strategy’s $962 million purchase, its largest Bitcoin investment since mid-2025.

However, the momentum faded quickly as traders awaited the final Federal Open Market Committee meeting of the year. The Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected 25-basis-point rate cut on Wednesday, giving markets a short-lived boost before sentiment cooled again. According to CoinEx analyst Jeff Ko, the move offered little upside because it was “already priced in.”

Magazine: 2026 is the year of pragmatic privacy in crypto — Canton, Zcash and more

Related Questions

QAccording to Bitfinex, by what percentage have crypto spot trading volumes dropped from January's peak?

ACrypto spot trading volumes have dropped by 66% from January's peak.

QWhat does Bitfinex suggest that the current market slowdown often precedes, based on historical cycles?

ABitfinex suggests that extended lulls in the market often precede the next leg in the cycle.

QWhat are the two key Bitcoin price levels mentioned by analyst Michaël van de Poppe that could determine the next major price move?

AThe two key Bitcoin price levels are $89,000 and $92,000.

QDespite a Fed rate cut, why did the crypto market see little upside according to CoinEx analyst Jeff Ko?

AThe market saw little upside because the rate cut was already priced in by investors.

QWhat event in mid-November 2025 caused a brief spike in crypto trading volumes before they retreated?

AA brief spike in mid-November was caused by volumes exceeding $550 billion, though the article does not specify the exact event that triggered it.

Related Reads

MY Group Completes Web4.0 First Stock Listing Layout, SEC Officially Discloses Form 8-K Announcement

MY Group has completed the listing layout for the "Web4.0 First Share," with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) formally disclosing a Form 8-K report. According to the filing, the company's board has officially appointed Mr. Zhang Dingwen as Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Executive Director, marking a significant upgrade in management and the entry into a new phase of its global capital market strategy. The disclosure of Form 8-K, used for reporting major corporate events, coincides with market information indicating the company is advancing several key capital market initiatives. These include a global brand system upgrade, corporate strategic restructuring, and a change of its stock ticker symbol. These moves are viewed by industry experts as signals of accelerated internationalization and enhanced global market presence. Concurrently, MY Group's proposed "Web4.0 Ecosystem" is garnering market attention. The company is integrating core capabilities across social traffic portals, global payment systems, public blockchain infrastructure, digital asset trading, and AI-powered financial systems. Analysts suggest that by closing this ecosystem loop, MY Group has the potential to become a next-generation platform merging Web2 user scale with Web3 asset frameworks and AI financial capabilities. With the management upgrade finalized, the global brand strategy launched, and the stock ticker change pending, MY Group is positioning itself as a focal point in the global technology capital market as a potential leading Web4.0 platform enterprise.

marsbit11h ago

MY Group Completes Web4.0 First Stock Listing Layout, SEC Officially Discloses Form 8-K Announcement

marsbit11h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片