Bitcoin Exchange Supply Remains At 8-Year Lows: Bullish Sign?

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-05-16Last updated on 2026-05-16

Abstract

Bitcoin exchange reserves, a measure of supply held on centralized platforms, have remained near their lowest levels in eight years despite recent price recovery. This stagnant trend, with around 5.6% of BTC's total supply on exchanges, suggests investors are not depositing coins for potential selling, which is typically viewed as a bullish sign. In contrast, Ethereum's exchange supply has seen a recent increase from 4.2% to 4.6%, though it also remains near historical lows. The on-chain data indicates continued holder accumulation for Bitcoin, even as its price trades around $79,400. Analysts note that the significance of exchange reserves alone has evolved with the rise of off-chain investment vehicles like spot ETFs.

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin exchange reserves have been at 8-year lows for the past month despite the recovery that the asset has witnessed.

Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Has Been Flat Recently

As highlighted by on-chain analytics firm Santiment in an X post, Bitcoin and Ethereum have differed in their trend of the Supply On Exchanges. This indicator measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of a given asset that’s currently stored in the wallets associated with centralized exchanges.

When the value of the metric rises, it means investors are depositing a net number of tokens to these platforms. As one of the main reasons why holders transfer to exchanges is for selling-related purposes, this kind of trend can have a bearish impact on the cryptocurrency’s price.

On the other hand, the indicator witnessing a decline suggests the exchange outflows are overwhelming the inflows. Such a trend implies the investors may be participating in accumulation, which can naturally be a bullish signal.

Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Supply On Exchanges for Bitcoin and Ethereum over the past year:

Looks like the value of the metric has gone up for ETH in recent days | Source: Santiment on X

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges observed some decline during March and has since followed a mostly flat trajectory. Currently, around 5.6% of the BTC supply is sitting inside exchange-connected wallets. “It has stayed consistent around this level for the past month, and it is the lowest ratio of BTC supply on exchanges since 2018,” noted the analytics firm.

While Bitcoin has witnessed its exchange supply remain flat at 8-year lows recently, the trend has been a bit different for Ethereum. From the chart, it’s apparent that ETH observed a much more dramatic decline in the Supply On Exchanges compared to BTC for most of the past year, but recently, the trajectory has flipped for the network.

Over the past 10 days, Ethereum has seen the indicator go from 4.2% to 4.6%, which is a notable increase. “Nevertheless, this is also still near the lowest levels we’ve seen since $ETH’s public trading inception back in 2015,” explained Santiment.

Interestingly, the flat exchange netflow for Bitcoin has arrived while BTC has observed a recovery surge. This means that despite the profit-taking opportunity, holders haven’t made deposits to sell.

Something to note when it comes to the Supply On Exchanges is that while exchanges held a central role in the digital asset sector earlier, the paradigm has shifted recently as a result of the emergence of off-chain investment routes like the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). As such, the exchange reserves alone no longer capture the full picture of the market.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $79,400, down 0.9% in the last seven days.

The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

Related Questions

QWhat does the 'Supply On Exchanges' indicator measure for Bitcoin, and what does a decline in this indicator typically signify?

AThe 'Supply On Exchanges' indicator measures the total amount of a given asset currently stored in wallets associated with centralized exchanges. A decline in this indicator suggests that exchange outflows are overwhelming the inflows, implying investors may be accumulating the asset, which is generally considered a bullish signal.

QHow does the current percentage of Bitcoin supply on exchanges compare to historical levels, and why is this notable?

ACurrently, around 5.6% of the Bitcoin supply is sitting on exchanges, which is the lowest ratio of BTC supply on exchanges since 2018. This is notable because it has remained consistent at this 8-year low for the past month, even during a price recovery, indicating a lack of selling pressure from holders.

QHow has the trend for Ethereum's 'Supply On Exchanges' differed from Bitcoin's in recent days?

AIn recent days, Ethereum's 'Supply On Exchanges' has increased from 4.2% to 4.6%, which is a notable rise. This is in contrast to Bitcoin's supply, which has remained flat at its 8-year low. However, despite the recent increase, Ethereum's exchange supply is still near its lowest levels since its public trading began in 2015.

QAccording to the article, what is an important limitation of the 'Supply On Exchanges' metric in today's market?

AAn important limitation is that while exchanges were central earlier, the emergence of off-chain investment routes like spot ETFs has shifted the paradigm. Therefore, exchange reserves alone no longer capture the full picture of the market, as significant investment activity now occurs outside of centralized exchanges.

QWhat price movement for Bitcoin is mentioned alongside the flat exchange netflows, and what does this combination suggest about holder behavior?

ABitcoin has observed a recovery surge in price. The combination of a price increase and flat exchange netflows suggests that despite the profit-taking opportunity, holders have not been making significant deposits to exchanges to sell, indicating potential confidence in holding or further price appreciation.

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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